2012-12-01
2012-12-31
x apple
x steve

STATION
CNBC 18
CSPAN 2
KRON (MyNetworkTV) 1
KTVU (FOX) 1
MSNBCW 1
LANGUAGE
English 27

Set Clip Length:


. >> very nice. >> all right. aside from that, we'll take a look at upbeat economic news out of china. the purchasing managers index rising to 50.9 in december. highest level since august. the surge also helped speculation the chinese government will take additional steps to support its economy. of the 15 times china's up 3%, since '09, s&p that day is up 13 times. almost every time. despite the futures today, is it a good omen for the markets here? >> look, there was a dichotomy in that government. there were people who were concerned about inflation. and there were people who said, listen, we're not growing fast enough. they do have a lot of levers. if they want to grow, i still -- i've been a bull on china. if they want to do 9%, 10%, they have the ability to do it. all they have to do is have a gigantic sewer infrastructure program. >> that's true. there's going to be an economic war conference held soon. it's believed the government will start to release growth forecast at that conference and perhaps unveil some further stimulus measures or tip their hat in terms of whether they

likely comes from the defense sector. at a time when china is rising. you see those planes land on that aircraft carrier this week? the middle east is boiling. i don't know. did we really want that big defense budget cut? i mean, maybe nothing more than the decline in spending is the war in afghanistan winds down. saving about half a trillion dollars over the time. maybe more. the areas where the defense job losses take place they look mighty red to me, at least on the electoral map. yes, you'll have to say goodbye to the fabulous 15% dividend rates and the capital gains rates will rise, not as much. the wealthy will pay what they had to pay percentage-wise during the best period for the stock market in my lifetime, the clinton years. i don't want to pay more tax. you don't, either. if we won't necessarily live happily ever after because of that i think we may be able to take -- i might be able to take this pin off before new year's day. wouldn't that be something? get this pin off before new year's day? that's why i need you to watch "meet the press" on sunday. not just because

a big rally in china extending one of its biggest rallies in three years. we have a mixed bag in europe with italy up by about .2 of 1%. >> we'll do our best to keep focused on the business day. we'll be following the tragic shooting in connecticut, of course. the new york stock exchange will hold a moment of silence to honor the victims in the next few moments, and we'll be looking at the president's call for meaningful action and the politics of gun control. >> let's get to a road map for this morning. it starts with apple. under pressure once again. even dipping below $500 a share at some point this morning. shares will remain range bound near term. iphone 5 sales and cannibalization among the region. >> other concessions from the gop, the speaker proposing tax hikes for millionaires. could this be the tipping point. moving the talks beyond deadlock. >> a big week for earnings. yes, earnings. fedex, research in motion among the companies reporting. so finally maybe we'll be talking about fundamentals in the stock market more than just the cliff. we've got to talk about apple reversin

up personal computer sector? >> manufacturing data out of china. not bad. 50.6. that's the highest in seven months. although shanghai again trades lower even europe's pmi improves a touch in november. first up, we're one month away from the fiscal cliff and so far the white house and congressional republicans are still in disagreement over how to reduce the deficit and avoid a raft of tax hikes and spending cuts. yesterday our own jim cramer and maria bartiromo were on "meet the press" and cramer had a message for fellow panelists and father of the anti-tax pledge, grover norquist. >> most ceos are republican. they're on board. they're not on board with you. they're not on board with you because they fear your view. they think you do not favor going -- you favor going over the cliff. that's what they think. they think that you favor -- >> just for the record since we're on tv. that's silly if they think that they shouldn't be ceos. >> it doesn't really matter. that's what they think. >> i want you to walk me up to that moment. >> behind the record. i like that too. >> i'm stuck. li

. last, but certainly not least, i think you could see the new leadership team in china come more aggressive reform program than people are expecting. >> all right. michael, good to have you. >> thank you so much. >> michael jones of riverfront. >> financials looking to continue their upward momentum from yesterday when both bank of america and citi hit new 52-week highs. independent research analyst meredith whitney has turned bullish on financials, too. whitney citing several factors including her view that banks are more than adequately capitalized. and guys, the weakest position banks from the crisis are now more than adequately capitalized, thus what they earn going forward, whatever that is, will now be theirs to employ with far greater discretion than has been the case in the past. that's the crux of her note. >> it needs to be listened to. i think we make a little bit much of meredith whitney, to be frank. it's been a controversial call on municipal bonds a couple of years ago that has not been proven correct. she might argue with that, but i think that's in the facts. you

saw that. i do think one thing we can certainly say given that china seems to be stabilizing a bit, we can all discuss europe. greek situation. maybe it's off the front pages for a while. and so if we assume that the jobs picture in the u.s. is not bad, let's assume not bad, it puts even more of a focus on the fiscal cliff negotiations because it becomes even more binding one would assume in terms of good or bad for the market, for the economy. >> kernen had a good point. does strength mean the economy could handle a cliff or is it so good you wouldn't want to tamper -- >> if i wanted to create a recession, what would i do? i would raise everybody's rates. i would cut the unemployment benefit. just trying to think of a theory of how i could cause a recession. i would cut back government spending quickly. >> i would raise interest rates to 20%. >> bernanke ought to join the -- look, i think this is what's going to happen. i think it's 50-50 we get a deal. no vacation. no legislation, no vacation. i think that when people get their paycheck at the end of january, they are going to be sho

about china electric demand being strong. remember, they make coal machinery, depending upon how much electric demand there is in china, his orders go up. that's why i think people are surprised the stock eel not down big, given his concerns throughout the near term. >> comments, the buybacks continue. >> now, i begin to say, wait a second. one buyback, maybe -- too much coincidence here. you have the news out of joint global. i think people are starting to say this fourth quarter's an inflection point for china. less worried about inflation, more worried about pro-growth. cummins is a uniquely chinese story. so many truck engines go there. let's keep track of this. >> a lot of people say if you've got gdp growing again and inflation as low as it is, that is the sweet spot, that is where you always want to be. >> india came out with global stuff. coal, i know, we're only used to seeing coal phased out in this country. they love coal in china. i don't want to make a judgment on whether that's -- but they are huge coal plant builders there. huge. >> an important one to watch. we'll talk

of this you focus on what happens internationally and china continues to recover. europe looks like it's stabilizing and we didn't change our strategy based on the news, just a little bit more of what you're doing. >> randy, anything change for you? >> no, not really. what we're watching is the parallels that occur now, where we stood with the fiscal cliff and where we stood in 1999 with the y2k situation. we borrowed a lot of growth in 1999 from 2000, and that led us to a recession. we're looking at the same thing now. we're seeing people have accelerated dividends, pre-payments, seeing a lot of companies that single proprietors are paying themselves this year in anticipation of higher rates. >> it's interesting that you point that out. it could be argued at the same time that we're delaying growth until next year because of the number of companies that have delayed hiring or capital expenditures because of the uncertainty about the fiscal cliff. >> yeah. well, uncertainty, unfortunately, is perhaps going to continue with this because the regulations are not going to go away there. ma

deficit to china being $29.8 billion per month. that is just one country. you start to add up all the trade deficit that we have with all of these different trading partners over the years, i am sure that it is close to about $1 trillion per year. >> thank you for the comments. let's go to sarasota next. caller: good afternoon. the way that i look at it, as a 74-year-old professional pharmacist with a minor in economics, the reason i am independent is because republicans and democrats cannot seem to get it together. the biggest problem that we have now is the reason why we cannot do what we are supposed to do for the entire country. one middleman adnan grover norquist. someone who was never even elected. here is a man that has caused all the problems. all of the republicans have signed this pledge, which to me is unconstitutional. without him, we would not be talking today. >> salem, oregon, republican line. you are on the air. caller: good morning. as a college student, and i have listened to every single caller, this is an embarrassing day for our country. i am a first-time job

's been a lot of mess with foxconn in china. he's paid apple retail employees more money. that's good for apple and the economy. finally, he talked today about bringing over more manufacturing of macintosh computers in the united states. that's good for everybody. >> i think people will take issue saying tim cook is better than steve jobs, nick, don't you think? >> it's certainly hard to say anybody is better than steve jobs. that's not really an option, whether or not steve jobs continued to be the ceo of apple. i think tim cook has done a good job. for him to try to be steve jobs, to try to be a product visionary would be a big mistake. his real skill is optimizing supply chains and running apple's massive operations. he's done a good job of really focusing in on who can be the next steve jobs. that's johnny ive. he's the person who designed all the hardware at apple. now he's in charge of the way everything looks and feels. after steve jobs, there's a natural fight between who's going to become that next person. you have to give tim cook credit for going with johnny ive. >> at the

safer way when they manufacture in china and all over the place. >> no. there have been stories about the working conditions in china which is another reason i am glad these jobs are coming here. ruth ruth, you make a good point. i feel good about apple but we also have to change the tax laws so that to reward companies like apple that do bring their manufacturing here and to punish those who keep exploiting the jobs. >> this is "the bill press show." about global warming. they just want to shut it down and go home. ed is calling from frederick maryland. museum >> bill: good morning. exciting issue. from financial regulation, iran that trade-offs are tough. things everyday exploding around the world that leave no shortage for exciting conversations. i want our viewer to understand why things have happened. at the end of the show, you know what has happened, why its happened and more importantly, what's going to happen tomorrow. [ music ] >> this is the "full-court press," "the bill press show," live on your radio and on current tv. >> bill: now 33 minutes a

that egotism that everybody reacts to. >> i was in china for ten days and with a group of mayors, the mayor of philadelphia, beijing, mayor nutter. and you know, people in china are asking about the fiscal cliff. everywhere we went. what's going on with you people? so the world is watching. and it's not just us. and i don't care, maybe you think the chinese, well, too bad for them, but it's not just the chinese, it's europe, and they're blaming the fact that their economies aren't going based on the fact that we're in this stalemate. you know, it's huge. >> harold, i mean, it all comes down to leadership. you know, when you talk to business owners, they want leadership shown. i'm glad the president is talking to business leaders now. >> and a debater on the phone. >> not only the administration but also on the other side of pennsylvania avenue with the republicans and harry reid in the senate. you're just not seeing it. >> you don't see enough of it. curiously, the markets -- investors are actually increasing their exposure which is kind of contrarian to your point. i do believe to julia's

this is a much more global story. i think a lot of backdrop in europe and china has some improving trends in it that are behind this. >> if the market is such a great predictor, tell me where it was in beginning of 2008. then we had a total collapse. so i don't buy -- >> my response would be look where it was in march of '09 when you could have -- [ overlapping speakers ] the valuations weren't reasonable then. they are cheap now and even cheaper outside the united states. >> yeah. you just made my case for why it is i feel like going outside the united states. i'll let america settle it and figure it out on its own. >> all right. john, what are your clients telling you right now? jeff just said i think it was over the weekend that so many of their customers are clenched right now. that they're just waiting to see what the resolution of the fiscal cliff is that they're holding back on orders. is that the case with some of your clients as well? >> well, i think right now we haven't received the clarity of the election we were hoping for. i think both sides republicans and democrats are bas

would be short yen and long japanese stocks. >> people watching not just january but china. ir ir ir iron oar a lot. >> let's get more insight from steve from web bush securities. how much of a nail biter is this for you in terms of fiscal cliff and the markets? >> i think pretty clear at this point that if there's a deal coming, it's gonna be coming very, very soon. i think the markets discounted the fact we are going to get some sort of deal t has held up fairly well here and i think if we don't get a deal, we will see a selloff. i don't know how considerable, but certainly see the 2, 3% decline in the market. >> does it amaze you, steve, that the markets, in your view, still consider a given that we are going to reach a deal? here we are thursday, december 27th. they still haven't issued a 48-hur notice for congress to return to capitol hill and yet you're saying the markets have baked in some sort of deal? >> yeah, i think so. i don't in he isly think the deal happened december 31st. if we pass waite without a deal earthquake the market will think something is going to happen in

of china. >> gretchen: no doubt. jennifer griffin live from the pentagon, thank you. >> tracking a person's every move without them knowing. it's as simple as buying a smartphone app but legislation could change that. we'll look at that for you next. plus, the changing face of america. pretty soon there will be no racial majority in our country. what will that mean for society? what about politics? that's coming up. stick around. >> gretchen: new senate bill taking on the so-called stalker apps that help smartphone user track victims. the bill was sponsored by al franken that closes a loophole that laws apps to secretly operate on a cell phone and transmit their location without their knowledge. the bill updates laws passed years before laws revolutionized smartphones. you've been working on this since the '90s. you see this as a domestic violence situation. >> it's another way to empower a stalker. they can put an application on your phone without you know and follow you wherever you are. stalking encompasses a lot of behavior, one is to know where you are all the time and send harassing

economies so when you stagnated the arab world was flourishing. china was flourishing. we have one world now. >> gavin: when we come back we'll talk about privacy on the web and what that means in the future. [ piano plays ] troy polamalu's going deeper. ♪ ♪ and so is head & shoulders deep clean. [ male announcer ] with 7 benefits it goes deep to remove grease, gunk and flakes. deep. like me. [ male announcer ] head & shoulders deep clean for men. ♪ ♪ >> i want to focus on the folks that are making a difference. (vo) here's how you can connect with the gavin newsom show. >>i'm an outsider in the inside. ideas are the best politics. [ ♪ theme music ♪ ] >> gavin: we're back with media visionary tim o'reilly, founder of o'reilly media. i asked him how we'll deal with privacy in 2013. >> you know, there are a couple of notions of privacy and one gets confused with secrecy. i.e. i really want to have something that nobody else knows. the other is--and it's not knowable. it's protected. the other notion is that there are social norms about what you dig into. you know t

got to be christmas time somewhere? christmas eve? this is from taiwan, china. have a good night. here you go. you, too. i'm going to dream about that steak. i'm going to dream about that tiramisu. what a night, huh? but, um, can the test drive be over now? head back to the dealership? [ male announcer ] it's practically yours. but we still need your signature. volkswagen sign then drive is back. and it's never been easier to get a passat. that's the power of german engineering. get $0 down, $0 due at signing, $0 deposit, and $0 first month's payment on any new volkswagen. visit vwdealer.com today. u-verse high speed internet. you know, in my day you couldn't just start streaming six ways to sunday. you'd get knocked off. and sometimes, it took a minute to download a song. that's sixty seconds, for crying out loud. we know how long a minute is! sitting, waiting for an album to download. i still have back problems. you're only 14 and a half. he doesn't have back problems. you kids have got it too good if you ask me. [ male announcer ] now u-verse high speed internet has more speed optio

sales. you have massive sales happening around the globe. they were just approved in china. apple is going to be under pressure. i know the last time i was on, i think with we talked about how apple could be moving towards $600 or $700 by year end. i don't think that's going to happen. when you see the earnings come out, the other end of the pipeline from this quarter and next quarter, particularly when a recent nielsen survey said that 30% of desk top and laptop users are now going to use their devices less because they're using, what, tablets, which apple is the market leader. then you're going to see blockbuster earnings over the next two quarters. >> all right. we'll leave it there. gentlemen, thank you very much. we'll be watching apple and this market on the possibility for a deal. thanks, gentlemen. see you soon. we're just 26 days away from the fiscal cliff. steve liesman joins us now live from the treasury. he has an exclusive interview with one of the key negotiators at the white house, secretary of treasury timothy geithner. >> maria, thank you. i'm here with the secret

.o. of big caterpillar equipment and talk about what's going on in china and i hope we get back to that. you're right that's all we're talking about instead of talking about caterpillar and what you do well as a great company. >> thank you. again, every time i come to the floor it's the hub of our greatness in this country of business. it's why we're here. it's really fun and exciting and let answer get into '13 and get into real things. i'm with you, joe. >> i know, but this deal has to play in peoria. >> it will play. >> compared to what you got in illinois now anything looks good. thanks. >> okay. >>> the executive chef tpz at jpmorgan the bank naming two chief officers to oversee things like anti-moneying. kayla tausche joins us. >> the person to watch everyone watching is looking at jez staly, he was chairman as of july largely viewed as a swank song role that rivals have taken note of. there were discussions over the ceo at legg mason, the baltimore asset manager. the talks fell apart and staly was the top of the short list for the board and recruiters after being serious talks for the

tougher sanctions on north korea but without support from china, options could be limited. this is video from overnight of the celebrations in north korea after the successful rocket launch. many countries believe it is north korea's way of testing its long-range ballistic missile technology. of course, the united states is very concerned about north korea's weapons capabilities this year. robert gates said north korea was within five years of being able to strike the continental united states. the white house condemns the missil launch calling it a highly provocative act that could impact stability in the region. alison burns, ktvu channel 2 news. >>> pope benedict really 16 is now part of the -- pope benedict is now part of the twitter nation. he already has more than 1 million followers who will read miss messages in english, arabic, polish and four other languages. >>> 8:16. pavi shankar has died at the age of 92. boy. he was good. he was known as the good father the world music. in fact -- known as the godfather of world music. in fact, the beatles gave him that name. he continued t

it matters, and it does. [ male announcer ] how can power consumption in china, impact wool exports from new zealand, textile production in spain, and the use of medical technology in the u.s.? at t. rowe price, we understand the connections of a complex, global economy. it's just one reason over 75% of our mutual funds beat their 10-year lipper average. t. rowe price. invest with confidence. request a prospectus or summary prospectus with investment information, risks, fees and expenses to read and consider carefully before investing. >>> welcome back to "squawk box," everybody. in our headlines we're about an hour away from the november jobs report and the numbers are expected to be impacted by sandy. the dow jones forecast is calling for new 80,000 nonfarm jobs. >>> the reuters forecast is calling for 93,000 new jobs. >>> ibm is implementing a significant change to its benefit program. starting next year matching contributions to employees' 401(k) accounts will be given in one lump sum on december 31st. if a worker leaves the company before december 15th, they won't get anything from that

sachs to buy from neutral. citing increased potential for yum's operations in china. although, that's what we talk about all the time. kfc in china. that's the growth in their, i think isn't yum bigger than mcdonald's in terms of total number? >> yeah. >> i think subway is, too. research -- >> they don't even call it kentucky tried anymore. >> kfc. >> and it's really chicken. >> that's uncalled for. what do you think it is, cat? that is uncalled for. >> this is all i'll say. >> tastes like chicken. >> yes, it's chicken! if david novak -- >> taco bell. >> yeah, taco bell. >> is that really meat? is that your next -- >> no. all right. the restaurant -- research in motion, rim shares coming off a seven-month high on news that the u.s. immigrations and customs enforcement agent are going to use the blackberry 10 on a trial basis. that is on news, did you see this, that the agency is going to ditch the iphone in favor -- >> okay, so why? >> i don't know. i just want to say, so blackberry was one of the sponsors of the thing yesterday, at the dealbook conference and they showed off the bl

are not making them here in this country, we know where they are going to be made? >> right. >> china or sweeden or someplace else. >> hopefully we make them here and they become -- we become more energy independent. >> every time during campaign, i must tell you -- peter, we talked about this on the air, romney saying and he spent $95 million$95,000,000 or a billion dollars on renew alan energy. i kept wondering if he would say you are damn right i did. >> there were a lot of jobs created. >> exactly? >> not only in places like california. you and i know that, around the country and florida and in maine and boston where you see individual state leaders taking it uponthems to make these investments as well but that has to continue. we have to be at the forefront of that. >> and as we go as californians californians, we have to to say what happened in michigan is deplorable, what happened in california where there was an initiative and the labor unions got the together and we were able to fight back and defeat that initiative in california. the fight goes o

be putting pressure on reducing trade barriers in places like china instead of worrying about the value of their currency. we should be fighting on those issues. in terms of america moving ahead, i think if we make these positive changes, like a sound dollar again, simplified tax code the people can understand, and they get more free enterprise and health care were the patient is in charge rather than third parties. unc in much different country very quickly. you go run this country and you feel especially among younger people, there is a lot of entrepreneurial energy wearing to go. if you get a more benign environment, that energy would burst forth. host: jkl tweets in, raise in the tops tax rate will not make a dent in the annual deficit. money gravitates to tax write- offs and crafted loopholes. guest: that is what you are seeing happening in europe when they are raising tax rates. lower the rates, get rid of these massive deductions,, and you would see a cleaner code, and less corrupt code. host: valerie in new jersey on our line for democrats. caller: good morning. the more i liste

is performing very well. they have geek squad. and they have a fast-growing chain in china. so for all its problems, i do believe that schulze believes that there is things that they can do to save the company and not only save it but make it prosperous. >> just before we let you go, do you have any appreciation as to what might be an acceptable offer? i mean, are there figures being bandied around from the other side? >> yeah. we've heard that best buy would be comfortable with $20 a share. now, whether or not they get that or not, i don't know. but i think it's interesting that the buzz is out there that the company would be open to $20 a share. you certainly would have heard that just a few months ago when this whole process started. >> thomas, congratulations on your exclusive. it's good to see you. thomas lee from "the minneapolis star-tribune." thank you. >> thank you. >>> speaker boehner coming out just moments ago saying the president needs to step up in the fiscal cliff negotiations. the democratic leadership is preparing to respond. we will bring you comments from senators harry

the catalyst here, signs that china's recovery is gaining traction. sources say that the bank of japan will ease monetary policy this week and consider adopting a 2% inflation target no later than january. policymakers are seen responding to pressure from the incoming prime minister there. shinzo abe for stronger efforts to beat deflation. in the meantime, india's central bank kept interest rates on hold yesterday ignoring pressure to reduce borrowing costs. policymakers said they were shifting the focus to reducing the economy and that raises the odds of a rate cut as early as january. andrew olson, over to you. >> ubs reportedly nearing a fine of up to $1.5 billion. the bank is close to finalizing a deal with regulators according to the financial times. about three dozen bankers and senior managers are said to face criminal or civil charges. >>> and it's official this morning, tend of an era for aig. details emerged during squawk yesterday. today, the u.s. insurer rates $6.5 billion from the sale of its remaining stake in aia group. and boeing is raising its dividend by 10%. it will

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